Background Post-thyroidectomy hypocalcemia is the most frequent complication after total thyroidectomy. Preoperative vitamin D deficiency has been suggested as a potential risk factor, but inconsistencies exist in the literature, possibly related to methodological differences. To evaluate whether study design and risk of bias influence the association between preoperative vitamin D deficiency and postoperative hypocalcemia in patients undergoing total thyroidectomy.
Methods This is a secondary analysis of a previously conducted systematic review. We included observational studies evaluating the association between preoperative vitamin D levels and postoperative hypocalcemia. Methodological quality was assessed using the QUIPS tool. Subgroup analyses were performed based on study design (prospective vs. retrospective) and overall risk of bias (high vs. low/moderate).
Results Twenty-eight studies comprising 4994 patients were included. Nineteen studies had a prospective design. Both prospective and retrospective studies showed an association between vitamin D deficiency and hypocalcemia; however, the effect size was lower in prospective studies (OR 1.95; 95% CI 1.28-2.97) compared to retrospective ones (OR 2.18; 95% CI 1.02-4.7). Studies with high risk of bias showed a significant association (OR 2.55; 95% CI 1.4-3.6), while those with low/moderate risk did not (OR 1.71; 95% CI 0.96-3.06).
Conclusion Study design and methodological quality influence the reported association between vitamin D deficiency and postoperative hypocalcemia. These findings suggest caution when recommending preoperative vitamin D supplementation based solely on observational data.